27 oct. 2013

BIOLOGICAL PASSPORT PART III



I tackled a theme not too long ago: The Biological Passport.  It is necessary to speak clearly about it because bureaucrats want to be important like some of the referees in a Football game.  The biological passport is just a parameter to consider when evaluating doping in somebody.  Please see our post when the case of Mark Fretta came to light:
As we can see in the Hematopathology / Automated Blood Cell Counts Am J Clin Pathol 2008;130:104-116
It is also desirable that, as with the high standardization for basic CBC parameters, a continued effort be made for the parameters (ie, RDW, IRF, MCVr, and MPV) for which results provided are still too different when produced by different analyzers. To reach these goals, cooperation between long-standing (ie, International Council for Standardization in   Haematology and the National Committee for Clinical Laboratory Standards, now the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute) and recent (International Society of Laboratory Hematology) organizations interested in hematologic standardization and the manufacturers is fundamental. It should be remembered that despite the essential role of automation in the modern hematology laboratory, microscopic control of pathologic samples remains indispensable, so much so that in certain cases, it alone is diagnostic.134 Moreover, knowledge of the limits of the specific analyzer in use is of paramount importance for the correct interpretation of results. These considerations require that clinical laboratories performing hematologic diagnostics have personnel with specific training and profound knowledge in laboratory hematology.

We have to find the substance to make a case; otherwise, we are not beyond a reasonable doubt.  There is a criterion in the law that says: Beyond a Reasonable Doubt.
The standard that must be met by the prosecution's evidence in a criminal prosecution: that no other logical explanation can be derived from the facts except that the defendant committed the crime, thereby overcoming the presumption that a person is innocent until proven guilty.

Errors of measurement for blood volume parameters: a meta-analysis
Christopher J. Gore, Will G. Hopkins, Caroline M. Burger
DISCUSSION

The most important results in the present study are the meta-analytic estimates of error of measurement of VRBC and MHb, the blood parameters directly related to oxygen transport. The short-term error for VRBC,51Cr and MHb,CO were 2.5%, whereas those for VRBC,Evans or VRBC,CO were about threefold greater. Over a period of 1 mo, the errors for VRBC,51Cr and MHb,CO were 3.5%, about one-half of those for VRBC,Evans or VRBC,CO. The errors of measurement for MHb,CO, VRBC,51Cr, and VRBC,Evans also showed wide variation between laboratories, typically by a factor of approximately ×/÷1.6. Thus a poor laboratory assessing MHb,CO and a good laboratory assessing VRBC,Evans could have similar errors of measurement (4%) and obtain similar precision in the estimates of effects on MHb and red cell volume with a given sample size, but an even greater disparity between the two methods is also possible. Unfortunately, we were unable to estimate whether VRBC,51Cr shows substantial variation from laboratory to laboratory, owing to a paucity of data. 


We have to have the doping substance to be beyond a reasonable doubt; otherwise we speak of weak evidence due to LABORATORY ERROR.  In the biological passport we do not have the sample B to decrease the chances of errors. In the latest case of Chris Horner who won La Vuelta a España, the chances of doping are high; not because of the biological passport, but because doping is endemic from what we know of Xavi Llobet and different operaciones in Spain.
Outside Online
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Chris Horner's Bio Passport Problem
On Sept. 25, in what appeared to be a good-faith effort at transparency, Horner released his bio passport data to the public. But the move seemed to raise more flags than it lowered. We checked in with Michael Puchowicz M.D., a sports medicine physician for the Arizona State University Health Services and author of the Veloclinic blog, to see how Horner’s bio passport numbers hold up under anlaysis. Conclusion: Not very well. Here, Puchowicz explains why:
Chris Horner’s blood values during the Vuelta better fit with the patterns that anti-doping authorities look for as signs of cheating. The first element of Horner's bio passport that raises concern is the hemoglobin concentration. Hemoglobin is the oxygen-carrying protein inside red blood cells. In endurance sports, athletes seeking an advantage have been known to use EPO or blood transfusion to increase their total hemoglobin. The biological passport tracks the hemoglobin concentration as an indirect marker of EPO use or blood transfusion. Anytime that the hemoglobin concentration is higher than expect it is an indication that EPO or a blood transfusion may have been used.

Above is Horner's complete hemoglobin concentration data from his published bio passport, spanning from early 2008 to September 2013. The Vuelta values are highlighted in red.

No solo se dopan los profesionales

Carlos Arribas
Si la Operación Cursa pudo ser considerada como una más por una sociedad a la que cada poco se le sobresalta con un nuevo golpe policial contra el dopaje, para el sargento Xavier Tarrés, jefe de la Unidad de Consumo de los Mossos d’Esquadra, supuso entrar en un mundo oscuro que sospechaba que existía, pero del que nadie tenía constancia documentada. Dirigiendo la investigación de una red de tráfico de sustancias dopantes con ramificaciones en Portugal, Andorra y varios hospitales catalanes, Tarrés, que comenzó su carrera como escolta de Jordi Pujol, entró de pleno en el mundo del dopaje que invade el deporte llamado aficionado o popular. Confirmó así lo que ya imaginaba, que no solo se dopan los campeones y los deportistas profesionales, sino también los participantes en las medias maratones o en las carreras populares o en las sansilvestres de fin de año, llamadas cursasen Cataluña. Por eso Tarrés bautizó a la investigación Operación Cursa.
“El producto estrella era Actovegyn, un concentrado de sangre de ternera, al que llamaban EPO de los pobres”, explicaba hace un par de años en una conferencia antidopaje. También describió la Operación Cursa como la primera desarticulación de una red que suministraba al deporte aficionado. “La lógica económica de las redes de tráfico exige también fomentar el consumo”, explica Enrique Gómez Bastida, director del departamento de inteligencia e investigación de la Agencia Española Antidopaje (AEPSAD) y que como teniente de la Guardia Civil dirigió diversas operaciones contra el dopaje, incluida la Operación Puerto. “La ganancia se consigue vendiendo EPO a corredores de San Silvestre. En todo caso, los profesionales sirven para hacer publicidad indirecta de las bondades del producto”.
Restringido antes a los gimnasios en los que adeptos al culto del cuerpo lograban kilos de calidad y forma no solo subiendo hierro sino con anabolizantes del mercado negro —muchas veces falsificados o provenientes de desvíos de pedidos de farmacias—, la masificación del running y del cicloturismo ha aumentado el espectro de productos y vendedores. En Valencia la policía bautizó una operación Master porque los clientes de la trama eran en gran número participantes en pruebas Master, categoría de veteranos de ciclismo. La Skype, llevada a medias entre los mossos del sargento Tarrés y la Policía Nacional, destapó una banda que operaba en una tienda de suplementos nutricionales de Mataró y con ramificaciones en Marruecos, Colombia y Madrid. Junto a atletas excelentes, como el campeón olímpico Rashid Ramzi, y decenas de atletas marroquíes que se ganan su sustento participando en carreras locales con premios, entre los consumidores detectados había ciclistas y runners populares, y hasta alumnos de un centro de formación de opositores a bombero en Móstoles.

There is a conversation in Spanish where the ironman competitor Xavi Llobet is asking to a drug dealer over the phone for doping substances when an undercover agent was listening to the conversation.

Xavier Llobet, triatleta olímpico en Atenas 2004, habla por teléfono con el exciclista del Kelme Jordi Riera Valls. Son las 9.54 del 1 de febrero de 2011. Riera tiene el teléfono pinchado dentro de una operación policial sobre dopaje. Hablan en catalán. “¿Qué pasa, crac?”, es el saludo. Tras comentar brevemente su plan de entrenamiento pasan a la farmacología.
Riera. Los Actos salen a 150.
Llobet. Vale...
R. Cada caja.
Ll. Vale.
R. ¿Lo digo bien? Sí, vale.
Ll. Vale, ¿qué más?
R. ¿Cuántas quieres?
Ll. Oh, tres. Son 350.
R. Después, el clembu a 60.
Ll. Vale.
R. Después, ¿algo más de aquello?
Ll. No, porque todo lo otro ya lo tenía, ¿no?
R. Bueno, ¡el tratamiento aquel!
Ll. Sí.
R. ¿Lo quieres hacer? Yo, yo, es que, Xavi, lo tengo, lo tienes muy... lo conté para hacer 12 pinchazos.
Ll. Pues venga.
R. O sea, seis, seis inyecciones que te las puedes ir combinando. Tienes para mucho, eh.
Ll. Vale, ¿entonces a cuánto sale esto?
R. Esto sale cada inyección unos 30 euros.
Ll. O sea, has dicho seis: seis por... tres, ¿18, no?
R. Ahí.
Ll. Vale, pues esto así. Vale. Yo ahora...
R. Así.
Ll. Cero, diez, diez, quince, quince, me llevo una, son 750 euros.
R. Vale, y aquí entran tres Actos, dos...
Ll. Dos, dos cle, clembu y seis, seis inyecciones de aquellas.
R. ¿Dos clembus quieres o uno?
Ll. Uno, uno, uno, uno, uno, sí pon uno, pero después ya es menos. Después son seis... Bueno 700, 700.
R. El clembu cada caja cuesta 60, pero van más.
Ll. Pues 700, al final son 700 euros. Justos.
R. Vale, espera, tres Actos, un clemb...
Ll. Y seis de aquellas que me has dicho.
R. Y seis de aquellas, que entonces serán aquellos tratamientos para los males que uno era el Testo. Que después te tengo que explicar cómo se tiene que hacer.
Ll. Vale.
R. Esto lo tendré esta semana quizá.
Ll. Bueno, y con lo otro también, ¿no?
R. Sííííí y lo otro tío, que tienes Andriol, y tienes de todo ahí.
Ll. Vale, entonces.
R. Y, y un huevo de Aire.
Ll. Vale, pues yo ahora lo preparo y te lo doy ahora aquí cuando...
R. Tres Actos, un clemb y seis inyecciones de aquellas. Ah, y te he guardado una cosa...
Ll. Sí.
R. Y quiero que lo pruebes esto, bueno, eh, es muy caro.
Ll. Mmm.
R. Pero compraron muchos y dijo, ostras, y cada uno, uno de nosotros se queda...
Ll. Mmm.
R. ... Dos ampollas. Una me la he quedado yo y la otra... te, te la daré a ti de regalo.
Ll. ¡Hostia! Vale, vale, guay, perfecto.
R. Y una de estas es como cuatro HMG.

Being devil´s advocate in the Horner´s case regarding doping, I will show you what people do to their bodies.  We should know the routines done to lose weight by limiting water in fighters.  This routine changes drastically the hematocrit and red blood cells percentage in a matter of 24 hours.
STRATEGICALLY DECREASE WATER CONSUMPTION
Routine to lose 20-30 pounds.
Dropping weight fast is all about manipulating your water and sodium levels.
For a fighter who wants to cut weight quickly and safely, here’s how much water he would consume in the 5 days leading up to his weigh-in:
Sunday – 2 gallons
Monday – 1 gallon
Tuesday – 1 gallon
Wednesday – .5 gallons
Thursday – .25 gallons
Friday – No water till after weigh-in at 5PM.
As you can see, the amount of water starts high with two gallons and decreases with each day till he’s drinking hardly any water on Thursday and Friday.
This is to ensure their body gets into “flushing mode.”
By drinking lots of water early on, the fighter’s body will down-regulate aldosterone, a hormone that acts to conserve sodium and secrete potassium.
And when he suddenly reduces the amount of water he drinks in the middle and end of the week, his body will still be in flushing mode, meaning he’ll hit the bathroom to pee a lot even though he’s hardly drinking any water.
What happens when you excrete more fluid than you take in? Bingo! Rapid weight loss.
DON’T EAT MORE THAN 50 GRAMS OF CARBS PER DAY
Since one gram of carbohydrate pulls 2.7 grams of water into the body, it’s important for fighters to keep their carb intake low.
By doing this, they also deplete muscle glycogen (a source of energy) and keep their body in “flush mode”.
DON’T EAT FRUIT, SUGAR, OR STARCHES
These are carbs that should be avoided entirely while cutting.
EAT MEALS THAT CONTAIN A LOT OF PROTEIN AND FAT
Fighters have to eat something. Since they’re avoiding carbs, Dr. Berardi advises them to load up on high-quality protein like meats, eggs or a vegetarian sources of protein. It’s also the perfect opportunity to eat lots of leafy vegetables (like spinach) and cruciferous vegetables (like broccoli and cauliflower).
Georges St Pierre normally has his meals prepared by a private chef so he doesn’t even have to think about this stuff or make decisions. Recommended reading: here’s an entire article detailing GSP’s training diet.
DON’T EAT SALT
Since the body likes to hold on to sodium (which will hold on to water), dropping salt helps the fighter’s body flush water out.
CONSIDER A NATURAL DIURETIC
This step isn’t always necessary, but it can help when you’re getting down to the wire and still need to lose water. Opt for a natural diuretic like dandelion root, but wait until the last 2 days to use it.
TAKE HOT BATHS
We sweat a lot in hot environments. However, we sweat the most in hot, humid environments. Since hot water offers both heat and 100% humidity, fighters lose water quickly by taking hot baths and fully submerging everything but their nose for 10 minutes at a time.
SIT IN THE SAUNA
This is the “finishing touch” to flush the last few pounds of water and is only used on the last few days leading up to the weigh-in.


Does the weight loss routine look like the tour de France?  It is not precisely, but it should be known by the “experts” on the Biological Passport to learn more about inter individual variations.  As I said, if Horner doped or not, it will not be answered by the Biological Passport.  The chances are high because doping is endemic and not because he was caught by the Biological Passport.

22 oct. 2013

TRIATHLON AND ECONOMY II



I will give you an example of how to think clearly and the effect on the economy.  Triathlon New Zealand will change because of the economic crisis.  It will change for good, I believe.  Why?  No money creates the needs.  We have spoken about it since last year when we went to New Zealand.  I like the way they approach the problems mentioned in triathlon.  New Zealand will be playing two games against Mexico to qualify for Rio Soccer World Championships.  I am like the ancient Greeks: “I Love my rivals when they fight for the cause of transforming humanity for better actors (I love my rivals when they play by the rules).”  I wish the best to New Zealand:  “Kicks their ass if they do not have ba…”  That will help Mexicans to overcome passivity.  Technically and tactically The Mexican Soccer Team has what is needed; unfortunately, they were raised like “vedettes” and they are useless to do any effort. Let’s see what it was written in the New Zealand Herald yesterday regarding triathlon.  I will comment on it right on the article:
Money troubles hit TriNZ
11:10 AM Sunday Oct 20, 2013
No major sponsor, job losses and an absence of medals at elite, under-23 or junior levels are posing real challenges for Triathlon New Zealand.
In June, Contact Energy decided not to renew a deal estimated by industry sources to be worth upwards of $600,000 per annum for the last four years. They had sponsored triathlon since 2006.
"We had all our eggs [in the basket] with Contact," chief executive Craig Waugh says. "So we're in the market for a lot less but hoping the sum of a few sponsors will make up the whole. We can see one sponsor covering the high-performance arm of the business, another covering schools, and one covering the annual tri-series.
"We believe sponsorship money is still there after the global financial crisis but companies are more particular on how they spend it. Sport was once seen as sexy to partner but companies aren't taking that easy route any more. They're thinking about how they justify the decision to shareholders.
" We need capital investment. We've got enough to get by for two years, provided we're prudent."
Waugh's outsourced the event management side of the business (to a company called SMC), to cut overhead costs.
Two staff have been lost as part of the restructure. Permanent staff numbers are at 13 as the sport prepares to split between Auckland and the new high-performance base in the Cambridge velodrome from February.
The TriNZ struggle has continued in the high-performance department. Andrea Hewitt (fifth) and Ryan Sissons (13th) were the best overall elite efforts by New Zealand women and men this season. In the London season finale race, Hewitt was eighth, Sissons was 22nd. No New Zealander made a podium in the under-23 or junior (under-19) categories. Under-23 athlete Sophie Corbidge did the best, at seventh.
TriNZ high-performance manager Graeme Maw acknowledges the lack of success. He says it might come down to training techniques: "I've only been here 10 months but it strikes me there's something in the nature of New Zealand athletes' aptitude for hard work and endurance training that creates a culture where they might do too much distance training [rather than focus on speed].
"For instance, you can't rely on catching a lead pack at any stage from the swim exit these days. Take the Corbidge example. She ran 35m 17s for the run which would have won her all but one previous title. But the six in front of her ran sub-35 minutes."
If you see the times of Nicola Spirig, you would see that she has a running leg almost as fast as when she won the gold medal at the age of 18:

Download ResultsPrint

1
GBR

02:10:05
00:19:07
00:00:56
01:11:59
00:00:26
00:37:34
2
AUS

02:11:27
00:19:05
00:00:58
0.05
00:00:22
00:39:00
3
SUI

02:12:18
00:21:11
00:00:24
01:14:04
00:00:29
00:36:05


What about Elliott?
Born and brought up in Perth, Western Australia, Elliott had shown great promise before he met Cerutty. He was first seen by Cerutty winning a Mile in 4:22.  An impressed Cerutty asked to meet the 17-year-old schoolboy and was invited to the Elliott family home in Perth for dinner. At this meeting he said to Elliott: “There’s not a shadow of doubt that within two years you will run a Mile in four minutes.” (Elliott, The Golden Mile, p.26) … Elliott’s improvement was meteoric. On January 12, 1957, Elliott, angry at being put in a B race, ran the Mile in 4:06, a Junior WR. At the end of that month he ran the same time to win the Victoria Championships. Soon after he ran an 880 Junior WR with a 1:50.8. After another two 4:06 runs, he improved to 4:04.4. Then at the end of the Australian season he came up against the experienced Olympian Merv Lincoln in the national championships. Stampfl-coached Lincoln led at 4:00 pace until Elliott sped past just before the bell and held on to win in 4:00.4.  Cerutty’s prophecy in Perth had come true.   
"Our performance levels are not where they need to be for international competitiveness. We need to unpick why that gap exists. I believe part of that is the speed development for endurance athletes.
"We need to look at what's slowing them down over the shorter distance because we've got some great kids. [At a recent camp] eight athletes aged 15-17 ran 4m 20s for 1500m which was what [2012 British Olympic bronze medallist] Jonny Brownlee was running at 16."
We spoke about EDUCATION in triathlon in previous posts, and what Elliott says it has to do with how we educate athletes.  We cannot speak of quality of training if we do not speak about quality of education.  I have read that there are coaches who believe that eating three times a week in McDonalds do not interfere with performance.  It is simple common sense, please see, 28 juin 2012 Technique the Second Most Important Thing to Win in Triathlon 
"New Zealanders pride themselves on being men and women of the land with this tough No 8 wire mentality," Waugh says. "But triathlon has matured as a sport. When the science and technology elements start to grow, New Zealand can struggle. It's a bit like how we had middle-distance running greats in the 1960s and 1970s but fell away when we kept working harder rather than smarter."
I am baptizing this phenomenon the ‘“Crocodile” Dundee phenomenon.’  It comes from the film (1986).  Since the film came out we have accepted a way of training that has given dividends except for the last 5 years.  “Mileage training improves speed for endurance athletes.” It has its bases on the way of living in Australia which has an icon in Mr. Dundee.  28 oct. 2012
 The clock is ticking for a New Zealand resurgence as the sport develops strongly in Europe. Medallists across the elite, under-23 and junior podiums came from Germany, France, Spain, Britain, Ireland, the United States, Canada and Australia. Aggravating the situation is the fact none of New Zealand's top three women (Hewitt, Kate McIlroy or Nicky Samuels) are under 30. No New Zealand men took part in the under-23 race because they weren't deemed a reasonable chance of podium success.
"Representing your country has got to mean something," Waugh says. "You've got to earn the right because we're dealing with taxpayer money. There were 44 athletes in our high-performance programme leading to Beijing. There are 14 now."
"It's a case of setting relevant standards," Maw says. "Nobody wants to be hard for the sake of it but it's a concern there's a generational gap. It's not a criticism of the athletes involved. They train bloody hard."
The governing body have to front High Performance Sport New Zealand before year's end to justify why they deserve to keep $1.4 million a year in taxpayer funding. In triathlon's defence, they are endeavouring to be pro-active. When Waugh came to his role in July 2011 he knew pain was imminent. That's why he says he spent the first 90 days canvassing 144 people associated with the sport.
In June, triathlon's annual participation numbers sat at 115,000, up from 70,000 in 2008. The tri-series saw growth from 1650 participants in 2008-09 to 4100 in 2012-13. Waugh says no membership fee is charged because they're an event-based sport. People "pay to play" because only 3000 [of the 115,000] participants belong to clubs - putting the onus on TriNZ to be more commercial.''
Hamish Carter was the favorite to win in Australia (Sydney 2000), the first time triathlon appeared on the Olympics but since then it was obvious that he did not have the speed to win today’s competition because they go faster.  31:00 minutes the 10k of an Olympics triathlon does not make the trick.
2006 Lausanne ITU Triathlon World Championships : Sep 03 2006 : Elite Men : Results
1
GBR
01:51:32
00:17:30
00:00:48
01:01:58
00:00:31
00:30:47
2
NZL
01:51:49
00:17:19
00:00:51
01:02:05
00:00:32
00:31:02
3
FRA
01:52:12
00:17:15
00:00:46
01:02:15
00:00:31
00:31:25

2006 Edmonton BG Triathlon World Cup : Jul 09 2006 : Elite Men : Results
1
NZL
01:47:33
00:17:50
00:01:13
00:56:23
00:00:33
00:31:36
2
USA
01:47:37
00:17:59
00:01:00
00:56:30
00:00:38
00:31:29
3
USA
01:47:39
00:17:38
00:00:58
00:56:47
00:00:32
00:31:45
2004 Athens Olympic Games : Jul 26 2004 : Elite Men : Results
1
NZL
01:51:06
00:18:19
00:00:19
01:00:24
00:00:17
00:32:04
2
NZL
01:51:14
00:18:13
00:00:19
01:00:32
00:00:19
00:32:10
3
SUI
01:51:32
00:18:17
00:00:17
01:00:28
00:00:19
00:32:31
































We have written several articles mentioning that speed is today’s need even to run a marathon.  The average is below 3 minutes per kilometer; the world record average for the distance is 2:52 per kilometer.